Need introduction to the survey – and link. Gary may want to review article and note observations I’ve ‘missed’.
- No claim in the AP survey has been vetted (likely inflated guesses). Zero costs acknowledged. ‘Free’ labor (effort, time).
- One massive outlier claim (outright liar) was removed prior to calculations summarized below.
- Mora/USDA 1992-93 was at v:v 1:1. Mora+ is adjusted to v:v 1:2.4 with same unit area, volume yields.
- Percentile values graphed below, approximated +/- 5% (N=187). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Percentile
- – I.e.,
- Retained in spreadsheet form … with enough numbers to make the average adult primate swoon &/or wretch.
- Percentiles were calculated for (on) area, volume, fish mass and plant mass. Yields and currency value then derived.
- Constant unit values applied throughout, i.e fish $3.30/kg, plant $6.60/kg.
- ‘apples to apples’, ‘claim to claim’, ‘ape to ape’ …
BONUS: Cost to grow tilapia in US (3 feed types, 3 harvest sizes)
What part of this makes ANY ‘cents’? (AKA FKN Insanity)
click image to enlarge
^ Tilapia fillet from $34 to $73 /kg (w/ capex, heating. pumping, labor (time), misc. supplies ALL = $0.00)
actual UPS ground shipping cost from AlliedAqua applied (average of Santa Cruz CA, Atlanta GA, Boston MA and Bozeman MT)
Compare with: today’s prices (July 30, 2016)
- Yellowtail Tuna fillet $37.4/kg (California)
- Albacore Tuna , sushi grade $44/kg (California)
- Maine lobster (1.25 to 1.5 lb size, live) $18.80/kg (Boston)
- Walmart frozen fillet $10.66/4.0 lb ($5.86/kg)
- Fisherman’s Cove, fresh premium fillet $4.99/lb ($11/kg)
- China, frozen $3 to $4.2/kg , $750/MT ($0.75/kg) +shipping
- mytilapia,com : 10-year price range Fresh $3 to 3.5/lb ($6.60 to $7.70/kg) , Frozen $2 to 2.75/lb
- Hmmm IF retail prime is $11, then reg fillet @ $10/kg – 40% -> $6/kg wholesale
- 1 kg fillet @ 35% yield = LW 2.86 kg equivalent
- 1 kg LW = $2.1 /kg (not including processing/ice/delivery costs)
- if process/delivery costs add 30%, then LW ‘value’ = $1.47/kg (used $3.30 in comparison)
click image to enlarge
Put yet another way …
Barely 6 out of 100 in the AP survey claim gross product of $35/m2/yr or more (at F$3.3 and P$6.6/kg). Top range of $40 to $50 m2/yr. What are the costs? AT what costs, risk, effort? APS mean feed cost alone at FCR 1.5 is from 16 to 38% of gross, depending on vendor (5 to 7% at ton volume).
How much better does better need be?